{"id":38,"date":"2022-03-15T09:46:14","date_gmt":"2022-03-15T09:46:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/?page_id=38"},"modified":"2025-08-19T01:32:40","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T01:32:40","slug":"publications","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/publications\/","title":{"rendered":"Publications"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Years<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

2020<\/a> – 2010<\/a> – 2000<\/a> – 1990<\/a> – ____
2021<\/a> – 2011<\/a> – 2001<\/a> – 1991<\/a> – ____
2022<\/a> – 2012<\/a> – 2002<\/a> – 1992<\/a> – ____
2023<\/a> – 2013<\/a> – 2003<\/a> – 1993<\/a> – ____
2024<\/a> – 2014<\/a> – 2004<\/a> – 1994<\/a> – 1984<\/a>
2025- 2015 <\/a> – 2005<\/a> – 1995<\/a> – 1985<\/a>
____ – 2016<\/a> – 2006 <\/a> – 1996<\/a> – 1986<\/a>
____ – 2017<\/a> – 2007<\/a> – 1997<\/a> – 1987<\/a>
____ – 2018<\/a> – 2008<\/a> – 1998<\/a> – 1988<\/a>
____ – 2019<\/a> – 2009<\/a> – 1999<\/a> – 1989<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\n\n\n\n

2025<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Martinez-Villalobos, C., Fu, D., Loikith, P.C. and Neelin, J. D. Accelerating increase in the duration of heatwaves under global warming. Nat. Geosci.<\/em>, 18,\u00a0716\u2013723 (2025). doi:10.1038\/s41561-025-01737-w<\/a>. [Supplementary Information<\/a>] [UCLA newsroom blurb<\/a>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Krantz, W., Ahmed, F. & Neelin, J. D. A framework for minimizing remote effects of regional climate interventions: Cooling the great barrier reef without teleconnections. Geophysical Research Letters, <\/em>52, e2024GL113191. doi:10.1029\/2024GL113191<\/a> (2025). <\/em> + Dryad data set<\/a> + related software files<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dai, N., Su, H., Neelin, J. D., Soden, B. J. & Kuo, Y.-H. Observed links between atmospheric cloud radiative effects and mesoscale organization of deep convection. J. Geophysical Research\u2013Atmospheres,<\/em> 130, e2024JD041030, doi:10.1029\/2024JD041030<\/a> (2025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sun, X., Zhong, X., Xu, X., Huang, Y., Li, H., Neelin, J. D., Chen, D., Feng, J., Han, W., Wu, L. & Qi, Y. A data-to-forecast machine learning system for global weather. Nature Communications<\/em> 16, 6658. doi:10.1038\/s41467-025-62024-1<\/a> (2025). [Supplementary Information<\/a>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nayak, H. P., Xue, Y., Li, Q., Neelin, J. D., Diallo, I., Cao, Z. & Vasic, R. Effect of Rocky Mountains and Tibetan Plateau 1998 spring land temperature on N. American and East Asian summer precipitation anomalies. J. Geophysical Research: Atmospheres <\/em>130, e2024JD042318, doi:10.1029\/2024JD042318<\/a> (2025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tsai, W.-M., Duan, S., O\u2019Brien, T. A., Catto, J. L., Ullrich, P., Zhou, Y., Leung, L. R., Feng, Z., Boos, W., Suhas, D. L., Ahmed, F. & Neelin, J. D. Co-occurring atmospheric features and their contributions to precipitation extremes. J. Geophysical Research\u2013Atmospheres<\/em>, 130, e2024JD041687, doi:10.1029\/2024JD041687<\/a> (2025). [Supporting Materials including mp4 video files<\/a>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kuo, Y.-H. & Neelin, J. D. Anelastic convective entities. Part 1: Formulation and implication for nighttime convection. J. Atmos. Sci., 82, 599\u2013623 (2025). doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-23-0214.1<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kuo, Y.-H. & Neelin, J. D. Anelastic convective entities. Part 2: Adjustment processes and convective cold top. J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 82, 625\u2013640, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-24-0130.1<\/a> (2025). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wu, M., Su, H. & Neelin, J.D. Multi-objective observational constraint of tropical Atlantic and Pacific low-cloud variability narrows uncertainty in cloud feedback. Nature Communications <\/em>16<\/strong>, 218 (2025) doi:10.1038\/s41467-024-53985-w<\/a>. (+Supplementary Information<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

2024<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Emmenegger, T., Ahmed, F., Kuo, Y.-H., Xie, S., Zhang, C., Tao, C., & Neelin, J. D. The physics behind precipitation onset bias in CMIP6 models: the pseudo-entrainment diagnostic and trade-offs between lapse rate and humidity<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 37<\/strong>, 2013\u20132033, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-23-0227.1<\/a> (2024). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Beucler, T., Gentine, P., Yuval, J., Gupta, A., Peng, L., Lin, J., Yu, S., Rasp, S., Ahmed, F., O\u2019Gorman, P. A., Neelin, J. D., Lutsko, N. J. & Pritchard, M. Climate-invariant machine learning. Science Advances<\/em> 10, eadj7250 doi:10.1126\/sciadv.adj7250<\/a> (2024). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xue, Y., Diallo, I., Boone, A.A. et al. Remote effects of Tibetan Plateau spring land temperature on global subseasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction and comparison with effects of sea surface temperature: the GEWEX\/LS4P Phase I experiment<\/a>, Climate Dynamics<\/em>, 62, 2603-2628, doi.org:10.1007\/s00382-023-06905-5<\/a> (2024).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zhang, Y., Pan, Y., Xue, Y. et al.<\/em> Near-global summer circulation response to the spring surface temperature anomaly in Tibetan Plateau \u2013\u2013 the GEWEX\/LS4P first phase experiment. Clim Dyn<\/em> 62<\/strong>, 2907\u20132924 doi:10.1007\/s00382-024-07210-5<\/a> (2024) <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Duan, S. Q., Ahmed, F. & Neelin, J. D. Moist heatwaves intensified by entrainment of dry air that limits deep convection. Nature Geoscience<\/em>, doi:10.1038\/s41561-024-01498-y<\/a> (2024).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Research Briefing for Duan et al. (2024): Dry air in the lower-free troposphere intensifies humid heatwaves. Nat. Geosci.<\/em> (2024). https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41561-024-01507-0. [The article can be read freely online using this link https:\/\/rdcu.be\/dRyhQ<\/a> and, for those with a subscription, https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41561-024-01507-0.<\/a>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2023<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Martinez-Villalobos, C., & Neelin, J. D. Regionally high risk increase for precipitation extreme events under global warming<\/a>, Scientific Reports<\/em>, 13<\/strong>, 5579, doi:10.1038\/s41598-023-32372-3<\/a> (2023).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahmed, F., Neelin, J. D., Hill, S. A., Schiro, K., & Su, H. A process model for ITCZ narrowing under warming highlights clear-sky water vapor feedbacks and gross moist stability changes in AMIP models<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 36<\/strong>, 4913-4931, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-22-0689.1<\/a> (2023).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chang, Y.-H., Chen, W.-T., Wu, C.M., Kuo, Y.-H., & Neelin, J. D. Identifying the deep-inflow mixing features in orographically-locked diurnal convection<\/a>, Geophys. Res. Letts.<\/em>,<\/em> 50<\/strong>, e2023GL103107. doi:10.1029\/2023GL103107<\/a> (2023).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bekris, Y., Loikith, P. C., & Neelin, J. D. Short warm distribution tails accelerate the increase of humid-heat extremes under global warming<\/a>, Geophys. Res. Letts.<\/em><\/em>, 50<\/strong>, e2022GL102164, doi:10.1029\/2022GL102164<\/a> (2023). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hua, J., Wu, M., Mulholland, J.P., Neelin, J. D., Tsai, V. C. & Trugman, D. T..<\/em> High-resolution precipitation monitoring with a dense seismic nodal array. Scientific Reports<\/em>, 13<\/strong>, 11450, doi.:10.1038\/s41598-023-38008-w <\/a> (2023)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Krasting, J. P., Radhakrishnan, A., Liptak, J., Jackson, T., Ming, Y., Dong, W., Gettelman, A., Coleman, D. R., Maloney, E. D., Wing, A. A., Kuo, Y.-H., Ahmed, F., Ullrich, P., Bitz, C. M., Neale, R. B., Ordonez, A., & Maroon, E. A. P. Process-oriented diagnostics: principles, practice, community development and common standards<\/a>, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.<\/em>, 104, E1452\u2013E1468, doi:10.1175\/BAMS-D-21-0268.1<\/a> (2023).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yu, S., Hannah, W., Peng, L., Lin, J., Bhouri, M. A., Gupta, R., L \u0308utjens, B., Will, J. C., Behrens, G., Busecke, J., Loose, N., Stern, C., Beucler, T., Harrop, B., Hillman, B., Jenney, A., Ferretti, S. L., Liu, N., Anandkumar, A., Brenowitz, N., Eyring, V., Geneva, N., Gentine, P., Mandt, S., Pathak, J., Subramaniam, A., Vondrick, C., Yu, R., Zanna, L., Zheng, T., Abernathey, R., Ahmed, F., Bader, D., Baldi, P., Barnes, E., Bretherton, C., Caldwell, P., Chuang, W., Han, Y., Huang, Y., Iglesias-Suarez, F., Jantre, S., Kashinath, K., Khairoutdinov, M., Kurth, T., Lutsko, N., Ma, P.-L., Mooers, G., Neelin, J. D., Randall, D., Shamekh, S., Taylor, M., Urban, N., Yuval, J., Zhang, G. & Pritchard, M. Climsim: A large multi-scale dataset for hybrid physics-ml climate emulation. In Oh, A., Neumann, T., Globerson, A., Saenko, K., Hardt, M. & Levine, S. (eds.) Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, vol. 36, 22070\u201322084 (Curran Associates, Inc., 2023).
URL https:\/\/proceedings.neurips.cc\/paper files\/paper\/2023\/file\/45fbcc01349292f5e059a0b8b02c8c3f-Paper-Datasets and Benchmarks.pdf<\/a>. [Data description<\/a>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jiang, X., Su, H., Jiang, J., Neelin, J. D., Wu, L., Tsushima, Y. & Elsaesser, G. Muted extratropical low cloud seasonal cycle is closely linked to underestimated climate sensitivity in models. Nature Communications<\/em> 14, 5586, doi:10.1038\/s41467-023-41360-0<\/a> (2023).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2022<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Emmenegger, T., Kuo, Y.-H., Xie, S., Zhang, C., Tao, C., Neelin, J. D. Evaluating Tropical Precipitation Relations in CMIP6 Models with ARM data<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 35<\/strong>, 2743-2760, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-21-0386.1<\/a> (2022).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xue, Y., Diallo, I., Boone, A. A., Yao, T., Zhang, Y., Zeng, X., Neelin, J. D., et al. Spring Land Temperature in Tibetan Plateau and Global-Scale Summer Precipitation\u2013Initialization and Improved Prediction<\/a>, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.<\/em>, doi:10.1175\/BAMS-D-21-0270.1<\/a> (2022).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Li, Y. X., Neelin, J. D., Kuo, Y. H., Hsu, H. H., & Yu, J. Y. How Close Are Leading Tropical Tropospheric Temperature Perturbations to Those under Convective Quasi Equilibrium?<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 79<\/strong>, 2139-2153, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-21-0315.1<\/a> (2022).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wolding, B., Powell, S. W., Ahmed, F., Dias, J., Gehne, M., Kiladis, G., & Neelin, J. D. Tropical thermodynamic\u2013convection coupling in observations and reanalyses<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 79<\/strong>, 1781-1803, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-21-0256.1<\/a> (2022).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tang, S., Xie, S., Guo, Z., Hong, S.-Y., Khouider, B., Klocke, D., K\u00f6hler, M., Koo, M.-S., Krishna, P. M., Larson, V. E., Park, S., Vaillancourt, P., Wang, Y.- C., Yang, J., Daleu, C. L., Homeyer, C. R., Jones, T., Malap, N., Neggers, R., Prabhakaran, T., Ramirez, E., Schumacher, C., Tao, C., Bechtold, P., Ma, H.-Y., Neelin, J. D., & Zeng, X. Long-term single-column model inter-comparison of diurnal cycle of precipitation over mid latitude and tropical land<\/a>, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., <\/em>148<\/strong>, 641\u2013669, doi:10.1002\/qj.4222<\/a> (2022). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dulguerov, L., Ahmed, F. & Neelin, J. D. Extreme tropical precipitation clusters show strong increases in probability under global warming in CMIP6 models<\/a>, Geophys. Res. Letts.<\/em><\/em>, 49<\/strong>, e2021GL096037, doi:10.1029\/2021GL096037<\/a> (2022). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turk, F. J., Padull\u00e9s, R., Morabito, D. D., Emmenegger, T., & Neelin, J. D. Distinguishing convective-transition moisture-temperature relationships with a constellation of polarimetric radio occultation observations in and near convection<\/a>, Atmosphere, <\/em>13<\/strong>, 259, doi:10.3390\/atmos13020259<\/a> (2022). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Martinez-Villalobos, C., Stechmann, S. N., Ahmed, F., Chen, G., Norris, J. M., Kuo, Y.-H., & Lenderink, G. Precipitation extremes and water vapor<\/a>, Current Climate Change Reports, <\/em>79<\/strong>, 17\u201333, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-21-0052.1<\/a> (2022). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Padull\u00e9s, R., Turk, F. J., Ao, C. O., la Torre Juarez, M. D., Kuo, Y.-H. & Neelin, J. D. Global tropical precipitation relationships to free tropospheric water vapor using radio occultations<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 79<\/strong>, 1585-1600, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-21-0052.1<\/a> (2022). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Leung, L. R., Boos, W. R., Catto, J. L., DeMott, C., Martin, G. M., Neelin, J. D., O\u2019Brien, T. A., Xie, S., Feng, Z., Klingaman, N. P., Kuo, Y.-H., Lee, R. W., Martinez-Villalobos, C., Vishnu, S., Priestley, M., Tao, C., & Zhou, Y. Exploratory precipitation metrics: spatiotemporal characteristics, process-oriented, and phenomena-based<\/a>, J. Climate, <\/em>35<\/strong>, <\/em>3659-3686, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-21-0590.1<\/a> (2022). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martinez-Villalobos, C., Pendergrass, A. G., & Neelin, J. D. Metrics for evaluating CMIP6 representation of daily precipitation probability distributions<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 35<\/strong>, 5719-5743, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-21-0617.1<\/a> (2022). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kuo, Y.-H., & Neelin, J. D. Conditions for convective deep inflow<\/a>, Geophys. Res. Letts.<\/em>, 49<\/strong>, e2022GL100552, doi:10.1029\/2022GL100552<\/a> (2022). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Schiro, K. A., Su, H., Ahmed, F., Dai, N., Singer, C. E., Gentine, P., Elsaesser, G. S., Jiang, J., Choi, Y.-S., & Neelin, J. D. Model spread in tropical low cloud feedback tied to overturning circulation response to warming<\/a>, Nature Comm<\/em>., 13<\/strong>, 1-12, doi:10.1038\/s41467-022-34787-4<\/a> (2022).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mayta, V. C., Adames, \u00c1. F., & Ahmed, F. Westward-propagating moisture mode over the tropical Western Hemisphere<\/a>, Geophys. Res. Letts.<\/em><\/em>, 49<\/strong>, e2022GL097799, doi:10.1029\/2022GL097799<\/a> (2022).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2021<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Adames, A. F., Powell, S. W., Ahmed, F., Mayta, V. C., & Neelin, J. D. Tropical Precipitation Evolution in a Buoyancy-Budget Framework<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 78<\/strong>, 509\u2013528, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-20-0074.1<\/a> (2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martinez-Villalobos, C. & Neelin, J. D. Global climate models capture key features of extreme precipitation probabilities across regions<\/a>, Enviro. Research Letters, <\/em>16<\/strong>, 024017, doi:10.1088\/1748-9326\/abd351<\/a> (2021). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahmed, F., Neelin, J. D., & Adames, A. F. Quasi-equilibrium and weak temperature gradient balances in an equatorial beta-plane model<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci., <\/em>78<\/strong>, 209\u2013227, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-20-01<\/a>8<\/a>4.1<\/a> (2021). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Norris, J. M., Hall, A., Neelin, J. D., Thackeray, C. W., & Chen, D. Evaluation of the tail of the probability distribution of daily and sub-daily precipitation in CMIP6 models<\/a>, J. Climate, <\/em>34<\/strong>, 2701\u20132721, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-20-0182.1<\/a> (2021). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahmed, F., & Neelin, J. D. Protected convection as a metric of dry air influence on precipitation<\/a>. J. Climate, <\/em>34<\/strong>, 3821\u20133838, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-20-0384.1<\/a> (2021). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Catalano, A. J., Loikith, P. C., & Neelin, J. D. Diagnosing non-gaussian temperature distribution tails using back-trajectory analysis<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res., <\/em>126<\/strong>, e2020JD033726 , doi:10.1029\/2020JD033726<\/a> (2021). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahmed, F., & Neelin, J. D. A process-oriented diagnostic to assess precipitation thermodynamic relations and application to CMIP6 models<\/a>, Geophys. Res. Letts.<\/em><\/em><\/em>, <\/em>48<\/strong>, e2021GL094108, doi:10.1029\/2021GL094108<\/a> (2021). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xue, Y. et al. <\/em>Impact of initialized Land Surface Temperature and Snowpack on Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project, Phase I (LS4P-I): Organization and experimental design<\/a>, Geo. Model Development, <\/em>14<\/strong>, 4465\u20134494, doi:10.5194\/gmd-14-4465-2021<\/a> (2021). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahmed, F. (2021). The MJO on the equatorial beta plane: An eastward-propagating Rossby wave induced by meridional moisture advection<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 78<\/strong><\/em>, 3115-3135, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-21-0071.1<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turk, F. J., Padull\u00e9s, R., Cardellach, E., Ao, C. O., Wang, K.-N., Morabito, D. D., de la Torre-Juarez, M., Oyola, M., Hristova-Veleva, S. & Neelin, J. D. Interpretation of the precipitation structure contained in polarimetric radio occultation profiles using passive microwave satellite observations<\/a>, J. Atmos. & Ocean Tech.<\/em>, <\/em>38<\/strong>, 1727\u20131745, doi:10.1175\/JTECH-D-21-0044.1<\/a> (2021). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Beucler, T., Pritchard, M., Yuval, J., Gupta, A., Peng, L., Rasp, S., Ahmed, F., O’Gorman, P. A., Neelin, J. D., Lutsko, N. J., & Gentine, P. Climate-invariant machine learning<\/a>, arXiv<\/em>, submitted, doi:10.48550\/arXiv.2112.08440<\/a>, (2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2020<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Kuo, Y.-H., Neelin, J. D., Booth, J. F., Chen, C.-C., Chen, W.-T., Gettelman, A., Jiang, X., Maloney, E., Mechoso, C. R., Ming, Y., Schiro, K. A., Seman, C. J., Wu, C.-M., & Zhao, M. Convective transition statistics over tropical oceans for climate model diagnostics: GCM evaluation<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci., <\/em>77<\/strong>, 379\u2013403, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-17-0287.1<\/a> (2020). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Wu, L., Zhai, C., Jiang, J. H., Neelin, J. D., & Yung, Y. L. Observed tightening of tropical ascent in recent decades and linkage to regional precipitation changes<\/a>, Geophys. Res. Letts.<\/em><\/em><\/em>, <\/em>47<\/strong>, e2019GL085809 , doi:10.1029\/2019GL085809<\/a> (2020). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahmed, F., Adames, A. F., & Neelin, J. D. Deep convective adjustment of temperature and moisture<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci., <\/em>77<\/strong>, 2163\u20132186, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-19-0227.1<\/a> (2020). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chekroun, M. D., Tantet, A., Dijkstra, H. A., & Neelin, J. D. Ruelle-Pollicott resonances of stochastic systems in reduced state space. Part I: Theory<\/a>, J. Stat. Phys., <\/em>179<\/strong>, 1366\u20131402, doi:10.1007\/s10955-020-02535-x,<\/a> (2020). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tantet, A., Chekroun, M. D., Dijkstra, H. A., & Neelin, J. D. Ruelle-Pollicott resonances of stochastic systems in reduced state space. Part II: Stochastic Hopf bifurcation<\/a>, J. Stat. Phys., <\/em>179<\/strong>, 1403\u20131448, doi:10.1007\/s10955-020-02526-y<\/a> (2020). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tantet, A., Chekroun, M. D., Dijkstra, H. A., & Neelin, J. D. Ruelle-Pollicott resonances of stochastic systems in reduced state space. Part III: Application to the Cane-Zebiak model of the El Ni\u00f1o-Southern Oscillation<\/a>, J. Stat. Phys.<\/em>, 179<\/strong>, 1449\u20131474 , doi:10.1007\/s10955-019-02444-8<\/a> (2020). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Catalano, A., Loikith, P. C., & Neelin, J. D. Evaluating CMIP6 model fidelity at simulating non-Gaussian temperature distribution tails<\/a>, Enviro. Research Letters, <\/em>15<\/strong>, 074026 , doi:10.1088\/1748-9326\/ab8cd0<\/a> (2020). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zhang, C., Xie, S., Tao, C., Tang, S., Emmenegger, T., Neelin, J. D., Schiro, K. A., Lin, W., & Shaheen, Z. The ARM data-oriented metrics and diagnostics package for climate models \u2014 a new tool for evaluating climate models with field data<\/a>, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.<\/em><\/em>, 101<\/strong>, E1619\u2013E1627 doi:10.1175\/BAMS-D-19-0282.1<\/a> (2020).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Schiro, K. A., Sullivan, S. C., Kuo, Y.-H., Su, H., Gentine, P., Elsaesser, G. S., Jiang, J. H., & Neelin, J. D. Environmental controls on tropical mesoscale convective system precipitation intensity<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci., <\/em>77<\/strong>, 4233\u20134249 doi:10.1175\/JAS- D-20-0111.1<\/a> (2020).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2019<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Schiro, K. A., & Neelin, J. D. Deep convective organization, moisture vertical structure, and convective transition using deep-inflow mixing<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 76<\/strong>, 965\u2013987 , doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-18-0122.1<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chen, G., Norris, J., Neelin, J. D., Lu, J., Leung, L. R., & Sakaguchi, K. Thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms for hydrological cycle intensification over the full probability distribution of precipitation events<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci., <\/em>76<\/strong>, 497\u2013516 , doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-18-0067.1<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Norris, J., Chen, G., & Neelin, J. D. Thermodynamic versus dynamic controls on extreme precipitation in a warming climate from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble<\/a>, J. Climate, <\/em>32<\/strong>, 1025\u20131045, doi:10.1175\/JCLI- D-18-0302.1<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Norris, J. M., Chen, G. & Neelin, J. D. Changes in frequency of large precipitation accumulations over land in a warming climate from the CESM large ensemble: the roles of moisture, circulation and duration<\/a>, J. Climate, <\/em>32<\/strong>, 5397\u20135416 , doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-18-0600.1<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maloney, E. D., Gettelman, A., Ming, Y., Neelin, J. D., Barrie, D., Mariotti, A., Chen, C.-C., Coleman, D. R. B., Kuo, Y.-H., Singh, B., Annamalai, H., Berg, A., Booth, J. F., Camargo, S. J., Dai, A., Gonzalez, A., Hafner, J., Jiang, X., Jing, X., Kim, D., Kumar, A., Moon, Y., Naud, C. M., Sobel, A. H., Suzuki, K., Wang, F., Wang, J., Wing, A. A., Xu, X., & Zhao, M. Process-oriented evaluation of climate and weather forecasting models<\/a>, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.<\/em><\/em>, <\/em>100<\/strong>, 1665\u20131668, doi:10.1175\/BAMS-D-18-0042.1<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Schiro, K. A., Su, H., Wang, Y., Langenbrunner, B., Jiang, J. H., & Neelin, J. D. Relationships between tropical ascent and high cloud fraction changes with warming revealed by perturbation physics experiments in CAM5<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em><\/em>, <\/em>46<\/strong>, 10,112\u201310,121. , doi:10.1029\/2019GL083026<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martinez-Villalobos, C., Newman, M., Vimont, D. J., Penland, C., & Neelin, J. D. Observed El Ni\u00f1o-La Ni\u00f1a asymmetry in a linear model<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em><\/em>, <\/em>46<\/strong>, 9909\u20139919 , doi:10.1029\/2019GL082922<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turk, F. J., Padull\u00e9s, R., Ao, C. O., de la Torre-J\u00faarez, M., Wang, K.-N., Franklin, G., Lowe, S., Hristova-Veleva, S., Fetzer, E., Cardellach, E., Kuo, Y.-H., & Neelin, J. D. Benefits of a closely-spaced satellite constellation of atmospheric radio occultation measurements<\/a>, Remote Sensing, <\/em>11<\/strong>, 2399, doi:10.3390\/rs11202399<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martinez-Villalobos, C., & Neelin, J. D. Why do precipitation intensities tend to follow gamma distributions?<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci., <\/em>76<\/strong>, 3611\u20133631, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-18-0343.1<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loikith, P. C., & Neelin, J. D. Non-gaussian cold-side temperature distribution tails and associated synoptic meteorology<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 32<\/strong>, 8399\u20138414, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-19-0344.1<\/a> (2019). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahmed, F., & Neelin, J. D. Explaining scales and statistics of tropical precipitation clusters with a stochastic model<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 76<\/strong>, 3063\u20133087, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-18-0368.1<\/a> (2019).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., C. Zhai and J. H. Jiang and L. Wu and J. D. Neelin and Y. L. Yung, 2019: A dichotomy between model responses of tropical ascent and descent to surface warming. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science<\/em> 2<\/strong>, 8, doi:10.1038\/s41612-019-0066-8<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2018<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Chekroun, M. D., Ghil, M. & Neelin, J. D. Pullback attractor crisis in a delay-differential ENSO model<\/a>, In Tsonis, A. (ed.) Advances in Nonlin. Geosci.<\/em>, 1\u201329 doi:10.1007\/978-3-319-58895-71<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kuo, Y.-H., Schiro, K. A., & Neelin, J. D. Convective transition statistics over tropical oceans for climate model diagnostics: Observational baseline<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 75<\/strong>, 1553\u20131570, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-17-0287.1<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ahmed, F., & Neelin, J. D. Reverse engineering the tropical precipitation-buoyancy relationship<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 75<\/strong>, 1587\u20131608, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-17- 0333.1<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martinez-Villalobos, C., Virmont, D. J., Penland, C., Newman, M., & Neelin, J. D. Calculating state-dependent noise in a linear inverse model framework<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 75<\/strong>, 479\u2013496, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-17-0235.1<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loikith, P. C., Neelin, J. D., Meyerson, J., & Hunter, J. S. Short warm-side temperature distribution tails drive hot spots of warm temperature extreme increases under near-future warming<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 31<\/strong>, 9469-9487, doi: 10.1175\/JCLI-D-17-0878.1<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martinez\u2010Villalobos, C., & Neelin, J. D. Shifts in precipitation accumulation extremes during the warm season over the United States<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 45<\/strong>, 8586-859, doi:10.1029\/2018GL078465<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chakraborty, Schiro, K. A., Fu, R., & Neelin, J. D. On the role of aerosols, humidity, and vertical wind shear in the transition of shallow-to-deep convection at the Green Ocean Amazon 2014\/5 site<\/a>, Atmo. Chem. and Phys.<\/em><\/em>, 18<\/strong>, 11135-11148, doi:10.5194\/acp-18-11135-2018<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xue, Y., Diallo, I., Li, W., David Neelin, J., Chu, P. C., Vasic, R., et al. Spring land surface and subsurface temperature anomalies and subsequent downstream late spring-summer droughts\/floods in North America and East Asia<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 123<\/strong>, 5001\u2013 5019. doi:10.1029\/2017JD028246<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Serra, Y. L., Haase, J. S., Adams, D. K., Fu, Q., Ackerman, T. P., Alexander, M. J., Arellano, A., Back, L., Chen, S., Emanuel, K., Fuchs, Z., Kuang, Z., Lintner, B. R., Mapes, B., Neelin, J. D., Raymond, D., Sobel, A. H., Staten, P. W., Subramanian, A., Thompson, D. W. J., Vecchi, G., Wood, R., & Zuidema, P. The Risks of Contracting the Acquisition and Processing of the Nation\u2019s Weather and Climate Data to the Private Sector<\/a>, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.<\/em><\/em>, 99<\/strong>, 869-870. doi:10.1175\/BAMS-D-18-0034.1<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Swain, D. L., Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., & Hall A. Increasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California<\/a>, Nature Clim. Change<\/em>, 8<\/strong>, 427\u2013433 (2018). doi:10.1038\/s41558-018-0140-y<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Schiro, K.A., Ahmed, F., Giangrande, S. E., & Neelin, J. D. GoAmazon2014\/5 campaign points to deep-inflow approach to deep convection across scales<\/a>, Proceedings of Nat\u2019l Academy of Sci.<\/em>, 115<\/strong>, 4577-4582, doi:10.1073\/pnas.1719842115<\/a> (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Schiro, K. A., & Neelin, J. D. Tropical continental downdraft characteristics: mesoscale systems versus unorganized convection<\/a>, Atmo. Chem. and Phys.<\/em>, 18<\/strong>, 1997\u20132010, doi: 10.5194\/acp-18-1997-2018<\/a>, (2018).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2017<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

Quinn, K. M., & Neelin, J. D. Distributions of Tropical Precipitation Cluster Power and Their Changes Under Global Warming. Part I: observational baseline and comparison to a high-resolution atmospheric model<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 30<\/strong>, 8033-8044, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-16-0683.1<\/a> (2017).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quinn, K. M., & Neelin, J. D. Distributions of Tropical Precipitation Cluster Power and Their Changes Under Global Warming. Part II: long-term time- dependence in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 30<\/strong>, 8045-8059, doi: 10.1175\/JCLI-D-16-0701.1<\/a> (2017).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Sahany, S., Stechmann, S. N., & Bernstein, D. N. Global warming precipitation accumulation increases above the current-climate cutoff scale<\/a>, Proceedings of Nat\u2019l Academy of Sci.<\/em>, 114<\/strong>, 1258-1263, doi:10.1073\/pnas.1615333114<\/a> (2017).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Langenbrunner, B., & Neelin, J. D. Multiobjective constraints for climate model parameter choices: Pragmatic Pareto fronts in CESM1<\/a>, J. Adv. in Modeling Earth Sys.<\/em>, 9<\/strong>, 2008-2026., doi:10.1002\/2017MS000942<\/a> (2017).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Langenbrunner, B., & J. D. Neelin, Pareto-optimal estimates of California precipitation change<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 44<\/strong>, 12436\u201312446, doi:10.1002\/2017GL075226<\/a> (2017). [+Supporting Information<\/a>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lintner, B. R., Adams, D. K., Schiro, K. A., Stansfield, A. M., Rocha, A. A. A., & Neelin, J. D. Relationships among climatological vertical moisture structure, column water vapor, and precipitation over the central Amazon in observations and CMIP5 models<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 44<\/strong>, 1981-1989, doi:10.1002\/2016GL071923<\/a> (2017). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Jiang, J. H., Neelin, J. D., Shen, T. J., Zhai, Z., Yue, Q., Wang, Z., Huang, L., Yong-Sang, & Stephens, G. L., et al. Tightening of tropical ascent and high clouds key to precipitation change in a warmer climate<\/a>, Nature Comm<\/em>., 8<\/strong>, 15771, doi:10.1038\/NCOMMS15771<\/a> (2017). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kuo, Y.-H., Neelin, J. D., & Mechoso, C. R. Tropical convective transition statistics and causality in the water vapor-precipitation relation<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 74<\/strong>, 915-930, doi: 10.1175\/JAS-D-16-0182.1<\/a> (2017).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2016<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Ji, X., Neelin, J. D., & Mechoso, C. R. Baroclinic-to-barotropic pathway in El Ni\u00f1o\/Southern Oscillation teleconnections from the viewpoint of a barotropic Rossby wave source<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 73<\/strong>, 4989-5002, doi:10.1175\/JAS- D-16-0053.<\/a>1<\/a> (2016).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lintner, B. R., Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., Anderson, B. T., Niznikk, M. J., Li, G., & Xie, S.-P. Characterizing CMIP5 model spread in simulated rainfall in the Pacific Intertropical Convergence and South Pacific Convergence Zones<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 21<\/strong>, 11590-11607, doi:10.1002\/2016JD025284<\/a> (2016).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Schiro, K. A., Neelin, J. D., Adams, D. K., Lintner, B. R. Deep Convection and Column Water Vapor over Tropical Land vs. Tropical Ocean: A comparison between the Amazon and the Tropical Western Pacific<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 73<\/strong>, 4043-4063, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-16-0119.1<\/a> (2016).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bernstein DN, Neelin JD. Identifying sensitive ranges in global warming precipitation change dependence on convective parameters<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 43<\/strong>, 5841-5850, doi:10.1002\/2016GL069022<\/a> (2016).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abbott TH, Stechmann SN, Neelin JD. Long temporal autocorrelations in tropical precipitation data and spike train prototypes<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 43<\/strong>, doi:10.1002\/2016GL071282<\/a> (2016).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Xue Y, Oaida CM, Diallo I, Neelin JD, Li S, Sales FD, Gu Y, Robinson DA, Vasic R, L. Yi. Spring land temperature anomalies in northwestern US and the summer drought over Southern Plains and adjacent areas<\/a>, Enviro. Research Letters<\/em>, 11<\/strong>, 44018-44029, doi:10.1088\/1748-9326\/11\/4\/044018<\/a> (2016).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2015<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Ji, X., Neelin, J. D., & Mechoso, C. R. Sea Level Pressure Anomalies in the Western Pacific during El Ni\u00f1o: Why are they there?<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 28<\/strong>, 8860\u20138872, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-14-00716.1<\/a> (2015).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loikith, P. C., Waliser, D. E., Lee, H., Neelin, J. D., Lintner, B. R., McGinnis, S., Mearns, L. O., & Kim, J. Evaluation of Large-Scale Meteorological Patterns Associated with Temperature Extremes in the NARCCAP Regional Climate Model Simulations<\/a>, Climate Dynamics<\/em>, 45<\/strong>, 3257\u20133274, doi:10.1007\/s00382-015-2537- x<\/a> (2015).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., Lintner, B. R., Anderson, B. T. Patterns of precipitation change and climatological uncertainty among CMIP5 models, with a focus on the midlatitude Pacific storm track<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 28<\/strong>, 7857\u20137872, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-14-00800.1<\/a> (2015).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anderson, B. T., Lintner, B. R., Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., Hawkins, E., & Syktus, J. Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea-surface temperatures<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 42<\/strong>, 1190-1196, doi:10.1002\/2014GL062593<\/a> (2015).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loikith, P. C., & Neelin, J. D. Short-tailed Temperature Distributions over North America and Implications for Future Changes in Extremes<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 42<\/strong>, 8577\u20138585, doi:10.1002\/2015GL065602<\/a> (2015).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chang, E. K. M., Zheng, C., Lanigan, P., Yau, A. M. W., & Neelin, J. D. Significant Modulation of Variability and Projected Change in California Winter Precipitation by Extratropical Cyclone Activity<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 42<\/strong>, 5983-5991, doi:10.1002\/2015GL064424<\/a> (2015).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loikith, P. C., Waliser, D. E., Lee, H., Kim, J., Neelin, J. D., Lintner, B. R., McGinnis, S., Mattmann, C. A., & Mearns, L. O. Surface Temperature Probability Distributions in the NARCCAP Hindcast Experiment: Evaluation Methodology, Metrics and Results<\/a>, J. Clim<\/em>ate, 28<\/strong>, 978-997, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-13-00457.1<\/a> (2015).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Berg, N., Hall, A., Sun, F., Capps, S., Walton, D., Langenbrunner, B., & Neelin, J. D. Twenty-first Century Precipitation Changes over the Los Angeles Region<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 28<\/strong>, 401-421. doi:0.1175\/JCLI-D-13-00273.1<\/a> (2015).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2014<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

Sahany, S., Neelin, J. D., Hales, K., & Neale, R. B. Deep Convective Transition Characteristics in the Community Climate System Model and Changes Under Global Warming<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 27<\/strong>, 9214-9232, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-13-00747.1<\/a> (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Li, J.-L. F., Lee, W.-L., Waliser, D. E., Neelin, J. D., Stachnik, J. P., & Lee, T. Cloud-Precipitation-Radiation-Dynamics Interaction in Global Climate Models: A Snow and Radiation Interaction Sensitivity Experiment<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 119<\/strong>, 3809-3824, doi: 0.1002\/2013JD021038<\/a> (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Seager, R., Neelin, J. D., Simpson, I., Liu, H., Henderson, N., Shaw, T., Kushnir, Y., & Ting, M. Dynamical and thermodynamical causes of large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle over North America in response to global warming<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 27<\/strong>, 7921-7948, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-14-00153.1<\/a> (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bernstein, Diana. Evaluation of regional sensitivities in climate modeling<\/a>, Diss. Hebrew University of Jerusalem (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stechmann, S., & Neelin, J. D. First-Passage-Time Prototypes for Precipitation Statistics<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 71<\/strong>, 3269-3291, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-13-0268.1<\/a> (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ji, X., Neelin, J. D., Lee, S.-K., & Mechoso, C. R. Interhemispheric teleconnections from tropical heat sources in intermediate and simple models<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 27<\/strong>, 684-697, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-13-00017.1<\/a> (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tripati, A. K., Sahany, S., Pittmann, D., Eagle, R. A., Neelin, J. D., Mitchell, J. L., & Beaufort, L. Modern and glacial tropical snowlines controlled by sea surface temperature and atmospheric mixing<\/a>, Nature Geoscience<\/em>, 7<\/strong>, 205-209, doi:0.1038\/ngeo2082<\/a> (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maloney, E., Camargo, S. J., Chang, E., Colle, B., Fu, R., Geil, K. L., Hu, Q., Jiang, X., Johnson, N., & Karnauskas, K. B., et al. North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments: Part III: Assessment of Twenty-First-Century Century Projections<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 27<\/strong>, 2230-2270, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-13-00273.1<\/a> (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chekroun, M. D., Neelin, J. D., Kondrashov, D., McWilliams, J. C., & Ghil, M. Rough parameter dependence in climate models and the role of Ruelle-Pollicott resonances<\/a>, Proceedings of Nat\u2019l Academy of Sci.<\/em>, 111<\/strong>, 1684-1690, doi:1321816111v1-201321816<\/a> (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Jiang, J. H., Zhai, C., Shen, T. J., Neelin, J. D., Stephens, G. L., & Yung, Y. L. Weakening and Strengthening Structures in the Hadley Circulation Change Under Global Warming and Implications for Cloud Response and Climate Sensitivity<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 119<\/strong>, 5787-5805, doi:10.1002\/2014JD021642<\/a> (2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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top<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2013<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Lee, S.-K., Mechoso, C. R., Wang, C., & Neelin, J. D. Interhemispheric influence of the northern summer monsoons on southern subtropical anticyclones<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 26<\/strong>, 10193-10204, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-13-00106.1<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Langenbrunner, B., & Neelin, J. D. Analyzing ENSO Teleconnections in CMIP Models as a Measure of Model Fidelity in Simulating Precipitation<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 26<\/strong>, 4431-4446, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-12-00542.1<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Langenbrunner, B., Meyerson, J. E., Hall, A., & Berg, N. California winter precipitation change under global warming in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 ensemble<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 26<\/strong>, 6238-6256, doi:10.1175\/JCLI- D-12-00514.1<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loikith, P. C., Lintner, B. R., Kim, J., Lee, H., Neelin, J. D., & Waliser, D. E. Classifying reanalysis surface temperature probability density functions (PDFs) over North America with cluster analysis<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 40<\/strong>, 3710-3714, doi:10.1002\/grl.50688<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Christensen, J. H., Kumar, K. K., Aldrian, E., An, S.-I., Cavalcanti, I. F. A., de Castro, M., Dong, W., Goswami, P., Hall, A., & Kanyanga, J. K., et al. Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change<\/a>, In: Stocker TF, D., Qin, G.-K. P., Tignor, M., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., Midgley, P. M., Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press, doi:10.1017\/CBO9781107415324.028<\/a> (2013). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ma, H.-Y., Mechoso, C. R., Xue, Y., Xiao, H., Neelin, J. D., & Ji, X. On the connection between continental-scale land surface processes and the tropical climate in a coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 26, 9006-9025, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-12-00819.1<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bernstein, D. N., Neelin, J. D., Li, Q. B., & Chen, D. Could aerosol emissions be used for regional heat wave mitigation?<\/a>, Atmo. Chem. and Phys.<\/em>, 13, 6373-6390, doi:10.5194\/acp-13-6373-2013<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Flato, G., Marotzke, J., Abiodun, B., Braconnot, P., Chou, S. C., Collins, W., Cox, P., Driouech, F., Emori, S., & Eyring, V., et al. Evaluation of Climate Models<\/a>, In: Stocker TF, D., Qin, G.-K. P., Tignor, M., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., Midgley, P. M., Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press, doi:10.1017\/CBO9781107415324.020<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eagle, R. A., Risi, C., Mitchell, J. L., Eiler, J. M., Seibt, U., Neelin, J. D., Li, G., & Tripati, A. K. High regional climate sensitivity over continental China inferred from glacial\u2013recent changes in temperature and the hydrologic cycle<\/a>, Proceedings of Nat\u2019l Academy of Sci.<\/em>, 110<\/strong>, 8813-8818, doi:10.1073\/pnas.1213366110<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bracco, A., Neelin, J. D., Luo, H., McWilliams, J. C., & Meyerson, J. E. High-dimensional decision dilemmas in climate models<\/a>, Geo. Model Development<\/em>, 6<\/strong>, 2731-2767, doi:10.5194\/gmdd-6-2731-2013<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sheffield, J., Barrett, A. P., Colle, B., Fernando, D. N., Fu, R., Geil, K. L., Hu, Q., Kinter, J., Kumar, S., & Langenbrunner, B., et al. North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part I: Evaluation of historical simulations of continental and regional climatology<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 26<\/strong>, 9209-9245, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-12-00592.1<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sheffield, J., Camargo, S. J., Fu, R., Hu, Q., Jiang, X., Johnson, N., Karnauskas, K. B., Kim, S. T., Kinter, J., & Kumar, S., et al. North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part II: Evaluation of historical simulations of intraseasonal to decadal variability<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 26<\/strong>, 9247-9290, doi:10.1175\/JCLI-D-12-00593.1<\/a> (2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2012<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Lintner, B. R., Bellon, G., Sobel, A. H., Kim, D., & Neelin, J. D. Implementation of the Quasi-equilibrium Tropical Circulation Model 2 (QTCM2): Global simulations and convection sensitivity to free tropospheric moisture<\/a>, J. Adv. in Modeling Earth Sys.<\/em>, 4<\/strong>, M12002, doi:10.1029\/2012MS000174<\/a> (2012).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ruff, T. W., & Neelin, J. D. Long tails in regional surface temperature probability distributions with implications for extremes under global warming<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 39<\/strong>, L04704, doi:10.1029\/2011GL050610<\/a> (2012).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peters, O., Christensen, K., & Neelin, J. D. Rainfall and Dragon Kings<\/a>, Eur. Phys. J.<\/em>, 205<\/strong>, 147-158, doi:10.1140\/epjst\/e2012-01567-5<\/a> (2012).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lee, J.-E., Lintner, B. R., Neelin, J. D., Jiang, X., Boyce, C. K., Fisher, J. B., Perron, J. T., Kubar, T. L., Lee, J., & Worden, J. Reduction of tropical land region precipitation variability via transpiration<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 39<\/strong>, L19704, doi:10.1029\/2012GL053417<\/a> (2012).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sahany, S., Neelin, J. D., Hales, K., & Neale, R. B. Temperature-moisture dependence of the deep convective transition as a constraint on entrainment in climate models<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 69<\/strong>, 1340\u20131358, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-11-0164.1<\/a> (2012).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2011<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Lintner, B. R., Holloway, C. E., & Neelin, J. D. Column water vapor statistics and their relationship to deep convection, vertical and horizontal circulation and moisture structure at Nauru<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 24<\/strong>, 5454\u20135466 doi:0.1175\/JCLI-D-10-05015.1<\/a> (2011).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stechmann, S., & Neelin, J. D. A stochastic model for the transition to strong convection<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 68<\/strong>, 2955-2970, doi:10.1175\/JAS-D-11-028.1<\/a> (2011).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D. Climate change and climate modeling<\/a>, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2011<\/strong>, pp. 282. (2011).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ma, H.-Y., Ji, X., Neelin, J. D., & Mechoso, C. R. Mechanisms for Precipitation Variability of the Eastern Brazil\/SACZ Convective Margin<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 24<\/strong>, 3445\u20133456, doi:10.1175\/2011JCLI4070.1<\/a> (2011).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2010<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Neelin, J. D., Bracco, A., Luo, H., McWilliams, J. C., & Meyerson, J. E. Considerations for parameter optimization and sensitivity in climate models<\/a>, Proceedings of Nat\u2019l Academy of Sci.<\/em>, 107<\/strong>, 21349-21354, doi:10.1073\/pnas.1015473107<\/a> (2010).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Lintner, B. R., Tian, B., Li, Q., Zhang, L., Patra, P. K., Chahine, M. T., & Stechmann, S. N. Long tails in deep columns of natural and anthropogenic tropospheric tracers<\/a>, Geophys. Res. Lett.;37 :L05804, doi:10.1029\/2009GL041726<\/a> (2010).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Jiang, J. H., Neelin, J. D., Kahn, B. H., Waters, J. W., Livesey, N. J., & Gu, Y. (Correction to<\/a>) Reply to comment by Roberto Rondanelli and Richard S. Lindzen on Variations in convective precipitation fraction and stratiform area with sea surface temperature<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 115<\/strong>, D06203, doi:10.1029\/2009JD012872<\/a> (Correction<\/a>) (2010).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Holloway, C. E., & Neelin, J. D. Temporal relations of column water vapor and tropical precipitation<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 67<\/strong>, 1091-1105, doi:10.1175\/2009JAS3284.1<\/a> (2010).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lintner, B. R., & Neelin, J. D. Tropical South America\/Atlantic sector convective margins and their relationship to low-level inflow<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 23<\/strong>, 2671-2685, doi:10.1175\/2009JCLI3301.1<\/a> (2010). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peters, O., Deluca, A., Corral, A., Neelin, J. D., Holloway, C. E. Universality of rain event size distributions<\/a>, J. Stat. Mech.<\/em>, P11030<\/strong>, doi:0.1088\/1742-5468\/2010\/11\/P11030<\/a>, (2010).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2009<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Peters, O., & Neelin, J. D. Atmospheric convection as a phase transition: further evidence<\/a>, Int. J. Modern Physics B<\/em>, 23<\/strong>, 5453\u20135465, doi:10.1142\/S0217979209063778<\/a> (2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Peters, O., Lin, J. W.-B., Hales, K., & Holloway, C. E. Stochastic Physics and Climate Modelling<\/a>. In: Palmer TN, Williams PD Cambridge: Cambridge University Press<\/em>, 2009<\/strong>, pp. 396-423, (2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C., Neelin, J. D., Chen, C.-A., & Tu, J.-Y. Evaluating the rich-get-richer mechanism in tropical precipitation change under global warming<\/a>,<\/em> J. Climate<\/em>, 22<\/strong>, 1982-2005, doi:10.1175\/2008JCLI2471.1<\/a> (2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peters, O., Neelin, J. D., & Nesbitt, S. W. Mesoscale convective systems and critical clusters<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 66<\/strong>, 2913-2924, doi:10.1175\/2008JAS2761.1<\/a> (2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Holloway, C. E., & Neelin, J. D. Moisture Vertical Structure, Column Water Vapor, and Tropical Deep Convection<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 66<\/strong>, 1665-1683, doi:10.1175\/2008JAS2806.1<\/a> (2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lintner, B. R., & Neelin, J. D. Soil moisture impacts on convective margins<\/a>, J. Hydrometeor<\/em>., 10<\/strong>, 1026-1039, doi:10.1175\/2009JHM1094.1<\/a> (2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Peters, O., & Hales, K. The transition to strong convection<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci<\/em>., 66<\/strong>, 2367-2384, doi:10.1175\/2009JAS2962.1<\/a> (2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2008<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Zeng, N., Yoon, J.-H., Marengo, J. A., Subramaniam, A., Nobre, C. A., Mariotti, A., & Neelin, J. D. Causes and impacts of the 2005 Amazon drought<\/a>, Enviro. Research Letters<\/em>, 3<\/strong>, 0114002, doi:10.1088\/1748-9326\/3\/1\/014002<\/a> (2008).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lintner, B. R., & Neelin, J. D. Eastern margin variability of the South Pacific Convergence Zone<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 35<\/strong>, L16701, doi:10.1029\/2008GL034298<\/a> (2008).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hall, A., Qu, X., & Neelin, J. D. Improving predictions of summer climate change in the United States<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 35<\/strong>, L01702, doi:10.1029\/2007GL032012<\/a> (2008).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Peters, O., Lin, J. W.-B., Hales, K., & Holloway, C. E. Rethinking convective quasi-equilibrium: observational constraints for stochastic convective schemes in climate models<\/a>, Phil. Trans. Royal Soc. A.<\/em>, 366<\/strong>, 2581-2604, doi:10.1098\/rsta.2008.0056<\/a> (2008).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Jiang, J. H., Gu, Y., Neelin, J. D., Kahn, B. H., Feldman, D., Yung, Y. L., Waters, J. W., Livesey, N. J., & Santee, M. L. Variations of tropical upper tropospheric clouds with sea surface temperature and implications for radiative effects<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 113<\/strong>, D10211, doi:10.1029\/2007JD009624<\/a> (2008).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Holloway, C. E. Characterizing Vertical Temperature and Moisture Structure in the Tropical Atmosphere: Observations and Theoretical Considerations<\/a>, PhD Thesis, <\/em>doi:???<\/a> (2008).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lintner, B. R., & Neelin, J. D. Time scales and spatial patterns of passive ocean-atmosphere decay modes<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 21<\/strong>, 2187\u20132203, doi:10.1175\/2007JCLI1913.1<\/a> (2008).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2007<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Holloway, C. E., & Neelin, J. D. The convective cold top and quasi equilibrium<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 64<\/strong>, 1467\u20131487, doi:10.1175\/JAS3907.1<\/a> (2007).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neggers, R., Neelin, J. D., & Stevens, B. Impact mechanisms of shallow cumulus convection on tropical climate dynamics<\/a>, J. Climate.<\/em>, 20<\/strong>, 2623-2642, doi:10.1175\/JCLI4079.1<\/a> (2007).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lintner, B. R., & Neelin, J. D. A prototype for convective margin shifts<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 34<\/strong>, L05812, doi:10.1029\/2006GL027305<\/a> (2007).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neggers, R., Neelin, J. D., & Stevens, B. Variance scaling in shallow cumulus topped mixed layers<\/a>, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.<\/em>, 133<\/strong>, 1629\u20131641, doi:10.1002\/qj.105<\/a> (2007).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D. The Global Circulation of the Atmosphere<\/a>, In: Schneider T, Sobel A Princeton, N.J. Princeton University Press<\/em>, 2007<\/strong>, pp. 267-301, (2007).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2006<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Sobel, A. H., & Neelin, J. D. The boundary layer contribution to intertropical convergence zones in the quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model framework<\/a>, Theoretical and Comp. Fluid Dyna<\/em>., 20<\/strong>, 323-350, doi:10.1007\/s00162-006-0033-y<\/a> (2006).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peters, O., & Neelin, J. D. Critical phenomena in atmospheric precipitation<\/a>, Nature Physics<\/em>, 2<\/strong>, 393\u2013396, doi:10.1038\/nphys314<\/a> (2006).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C., Neelin, J. D., Tu, J.-Y., & Chen, C.-T. Regional tropical precipitation change mechanisms in ECHAM4\/OPYC3 under global warming<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 19<\/strong>, 4207\u20134223, doi:10.1175\/JCLI3858.1<\/a> (2006).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neggers, R., Stevens, B., & Neelin, J. D. A simple equilibrium model for shallow cumulus convection<\/a>, Theoretical and Comp. Fluid Dyna.<\/em>, 20<\/strong>, 305-322, doi:10.1007\/s00162-006-0030-1<\/a> (2006).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hales, K., Neelin, J. D., & Zeng, N. Interaction of vegetation and atmospheric dynamical mechanisms in the mid-Holocene African monsoon<\/a>, J. Climate.<\/em>, 19<\/strong>, 4105-4120, doi:10.1175\/JCLI3833.1<\/a> (2006).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Munnich, M., Su, H., Meyerson, J. E., & Holloway, C. Tropical drying trends in global warming models and observations<\/a>, Proceedings of Nat\u2019l Academy of Sci.<\/em>, 103<\/strong>, 6110\u20136115, doi:10.1073\/pnas.0601798103<\/a> (2006).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2005<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Su, H., & Neelin, J. D. Dynamical mechanisms for African monsoon changes during the mid-Holocene<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 110<\/strong>, D19105, doi:10.1029\/2005JD005806<\/a> (2005).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hales, K. Hierarchical Modeling of Tropical Vegetation-Atmosphere Interaction, PhD Thesis,<\/em> doi:???<\/a> (2005).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C., Neelin, J. D., Lohmann, U., & Feichter, J. Local and remote impacts of aerosol climate forcing on tropical<\/a> precipitation<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 18<\/strong>, 4621-4636, doi:10.1175\/JCLI3554.1<\/a> (2005).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Neelin, J. D., & Meyerson, J. E. Mechanisms for lagged atmospheric response to ENSO SST forcing<\/a>, J. Climate.<\/em>, 18, 4195-4215, doi:10.1175\/JCLI3514.1<\/a> (2005).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Su, H. Moist teleconnection mechanisms for the tropical South American and Atlantic sector<\/a>, J. Climate.<\/em>, 18, 3928-3950, doi:10.1175\/JCLI3517.1<\/a> (2005).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Munnich, M., & Neelin, J. D. Seasonal Influence of ENSO on the Atlantic ITCZ and equatorial South America<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 32, L21709, doi:10.1029\/2005GL023900<\/a> (2005).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2004<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Tang, B. H., & Neelin, J. D. ENSO influence on Atlantic hurricanes via tropospheric warming<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 3<\/strong>, L24204, doi:10.1029\/2004GL021072<\/a> (2004).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C., & Neelin, J. D. Mechanisms of global warming impacts on regional tropical precipitation<\/a>, J. Climate.<\/em>, 17<\/strong>, 2688-2701, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2004)017<2688:MOGWIO>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2004).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Neelin, J. D., & Meyerson, J. E. Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction and Climate Variability. In: Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction and Climate Variability. Amer. Geophys. Union<\/em>, 2004<\/strong>, pp. 397\u2013392, (2004).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hales, K., Neelin, J. D., & Zeng, N. Sensitivity of tropical land climate to leaf area index: Role of surface conductance versus albedo<\/a>, J. Climate.<\/em>, 17<\/strong>, 1459-1473, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2004)017<1459:SOTLCT>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2004).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2003<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Munnich, M., & Neelin, J. D. Where is ENSO stress balanced?<\/a>, Atmo. Science Letters<\/em>, 5<\/strong>, 35-41, doi:10.1016\/j.atmoscilet.2003.11.001<\/a> (2003).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dijkstra, H. A., Weijer, W., & Neelin, J. D. Imperfections of the three-dimensional thermohaline ocean circulation: Hysteresis and unique-state regimes<\/a>, J. Phys. Oceanog., <\/em>33<\/strong>, 2796-2814, doi:10.1175\/1520-0485(2003)033<2796:IOTTTC>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2003).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C., & Neelin, J. D. Mechanisms limiting the northward extent of the northern summer monsoons over North America, Asia and Africa<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 16<\/strong>, 406-425, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2003)016<0406:MLTNEO>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2003).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., & Neelin, J. D. The scatter in tropical average precipitation anomalies<\/a>, J. Climate.<\/em>, 16<\/strong>, 3966-3977, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2003)016<3966:TSITAP>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2003).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Neelin, J. D., & Meyerson, J. E. Sensitivity of tropical tropospheric temperature to sea surface temperature forcing<\/a>, J. Climate.<\/em>, 16<\/strong>, 1283\u20131301, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2003)16<1283:SOTTTT>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2003).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lin, J. W.-B., & Neelin, J. D. Toward stochastic moist convective parameterization in general circulation models<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 30<\/strong>, 1162, doi:10.1029\/2002GL016203<\/a> (2003).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Roulston, M. S., & Neelin, J. D. Non-linear coupling between modes in a low-dimensional model of ENSO<\/a>, Atmosphere-Ocean<\/em>, 41<\/strong>, 217-231, doi:10.3137\/ao.410303<\/a> (2003).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mechoso, C. R., Neelin J. D., & Yu, J.-Y. Testing simple models of ENSO<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 60<\/strong>, 305-318, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(2003)060<0305:TSMOE>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2003).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Chou, C., & Su, H. Tropical drought regions in global warming and El Ni\u00f1o teleconnections<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 30<\/strong>, 2275, doi:10.1029\/2003GL018625<\/a> (2003).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2002<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Sun, C., Hao, Z., Ghil, M., & Neelin, J. D. Data assimilation for a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Part I: Sequential state estimation<\/a>, Mon. Weather Rev.<\/em>, 130<\/strong>, 1073\u20131099, doi:10.1175\/1520-0493(2002)130<1073:DAFACO>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2002).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., & Neelin, J. D. Dry regions during El Ni\u00f1o<\/a>, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.<\/em>, 59<\/strong>, 1137-1138, doi:??? (2002).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stevens, B., Duan, J., McWilliams, J. C., M\u00fcnnich, M., & Neelin, J. D. Entrainment, Rayleigh friction and boundary layer winds over the tropical Pacific<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 15<\/strong>, 30-44, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2002)015<0030:ERFABL>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2002).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N., Hales, K., & Neelin, J. D. Nonlinear dynamics in a coupled vegetation-climate system and implications for desert-forest gradient<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 15<\/strong>, 3474-3487, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2002)015<3474:NDIACV>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2002).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nogues-Paegle, J., Mechoso, C. R., Fu, R., Berbery, E. H., Chao, W. C., Chen, T.-C., Cook, K., Diaz, A. F., Enfield, D., Ferreira, R., & Grimm, A. M., et al. Progress in Pan American CLIVAR Research: Understanding the South American Monsoon<\/a>, Meteorologica<\/em>, 27<\/strong>, 3-32, doi:??? (2002).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., & Neelin, J. D. Teleconnection mechanisms for tropical Pacific descent anomalies during El Ni\u00f1o<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 59<\/strong>, 2694-2712, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(2002)059<2694:TMFTPD>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2002).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Zeng, N., Chou, C., Lin, J. W.-B., Su, H., Munnich, M., Hales, K., & Meyerson, J. Tropical Circulation Model (QTCM1) Version 2.3, Documentation and Manual<\/a>, 2002<\/strong>, 86, (2002).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lin JW-B, Neelin JD. Considerations for stochastic convective parameterization<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 59<\/strong>, 959-975, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(2002)059<0959:CFSCP>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2002).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kondrashov D, Ghil M, Neelin JD. Forecasts of Ni\u00f1o-3 and SOI based on Singular Spectrum Analysis combined with the Maximum Entropy Method<\/a>. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin. 2002;11 (1) (1).<\/s><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meyerson JE, Su H, Neelin JD. Prediction of Ni\u00f1o-3 SST anomaly in a hybrid coupled model with piggy-back data assimilation initialization<\/a>. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin. 2002;11 (1).<\/s><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2001<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Chou, C., & Neelin, J. D. Mechanisms limiting the southward extent of the South American summer monsoon<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 28<\/strong>, 2433-2436, doi:10.1029\/2000GL012138<\/a> (2001).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C., Neelin, J. D., & Su, H. Ocean-atmosphere-land feedbacks in an idealized monsoon<\/a>, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.<\/em>, 127<\/strong>, 1869-1891, doi:10.1002\/qj.49712757602<\/a> (2001).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., & Neelin, J. D. Prediction of Ni\u00f1o-3 SST anomaly in a hybrid coupled model with piggy-back data assimilation initialization, Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin<\/em>, 10<\/strong>, (2001).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Neelin, J. D., & Chou, C. Tropical teleconnection and local response to SST anomalies during the 1997-1998 El Ni\u00f1o<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 106<\/strong>, 20025\u201320043, doi:10.1029\/2000JD000124<\/a> (2001).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2000<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Roulston, M. S. Construction of low-dimensional models of El Ni\u00f1o\u2013Southern Oscillation using empirical orthogonal functions, PhD Thesis<\/em>, doi:???<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Syu, H.-H., & Neelin, J. D. ENSO in a hybrid coupled model. Part I: Sensitivity to physical parameterizations<\/a>, Climate Dynamics<\/em>, 16<\/strong>, 19\u201334, doi:10.1007\/PL00007920<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Syu, H.-H., & Neelin, J. D. ENSO in a hybrid coupled model: Part II: Prediction with piggyback data assimilation<\/a>, Climate Dynamics<\/em>, 16<\/strong>, 35\u201348, doi:10.1007\/s003820050003<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N., Neelin, J. D., Chou, C., Lin, J. W.-B., & Su H. General circulation Modeling: Past, Present, and Future. In: Academic Press, 2000<\/strong>, pp. 457-488, (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N., Shuttleworth, J. W., & Gash, J. H. C. Influence of temporal variability of rainfall on interception loss: I. Point analysis<\/a>, J. Hydrology<\/em>, 228<\/strong>, 228-241, doi:10.1016\/S0022-1694(00)00140-2<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Zeng, N., Chou, C., Lin, J. W.-B., Su, H., Munnich, M., & Hales, K. The Neelin-Zeng Quasi-Equilibrium Tropical Circulation Model (QTCM1) Version 2.2, Documentation and Manual<\/em>, 2000<\/strong>, 58, (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Su, H., Syu, H.-H., & Neelin, J. D. Prediction of Ni\u00f1o-3 SST anomaly in a hybrid coupled model with piggy-back data assimilation initialization, Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin<\/em>, 9<\/strong>, (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Zeng, N. A quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model\u2013-formulation<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci<\/em>., 57<\/strong>, 1741\u20131766, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(2000)057<1741:AQETCM>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N., Neelin, J. D., & Chou, C. A quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model\u2013-implementation and simulation<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 57<\/strong>, 1767\u20131796, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(2000)057<1767:AQETCM>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Roulston, M. S., & Neelin, J. D. The response of an ENSO model to climate noise, weather noise and intraseasonal forcing<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 27<\/strong>, 3723-3726, doi:10.1029\/2000GL011941<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N., & Neelin, J. D. The role of vegetation-climate interaction and interannual variability in shaping the African Savanna<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 13<\/strong>, 2665-2670, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2000)013<2665:TROVCI>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Jin, F.-F., & Syu, H.-H. Variations in ENSO phase-locking<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 13<\/strong>, 2570\u20132590, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2000)013<2570:VIEPL>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lin, J. W.-B. The effects of evaporation-wind feedback, mid-latitude storms, and stochastic convective processes on tropical intraseasonal variability, PhD Thesis<\/em>, doi:???<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dijkstra, H. A., & Neelin, J. D. Imperfections of the thermohaline circulation: Latitudinal asymmetry and preferred northern sinking<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 13<\/strong>, 366-382, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(2000)013<0366:IOTTCL>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lin, J. W.-B., & Neelin, J. D. Influence of a stochastic moist convective <\/a>parameterization<\/a> on tropical climate variability<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 27<\/strong>, 3691\u20133694, doi:10.1029\/2000GL011964<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lin, J. W.-B., Neelin, J. D., & Zeng, N. Maintenance of tropical intraseasonal variability: impact of evaporation-wind feedback and midlatitude storms<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 57<\/strong>, 2793\u20132823, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(2000)057<2793:MOTIVI>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1999<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Neelin, J. D., & Weng, W. Analytical prototypes for ocean-atmosphere interaction at midlatitudes. Part I: Coupled feedbacks as sea surface temperature dependent stochastic forcing<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 12<\/strong>, 697-721, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1999)012<0697:APFOAI>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Weng, W., & Neelin, J. D. Analytical prototypes for ocean-atmosphere interaction at midlatitudes. Part II: Mechanisms for coupled gyre modes<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 12<\/strong>, 2757-2774, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1999)012<2757:APFOAI>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C., & Neelin, J. D. Cirrus-detrainment-temperature feedback<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 26<\/strong>, 1295-1298, doi:10.1029\/1999GL900219<\/a> (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Perigaud, C. M., Cassou, C., DeWitte, B., Fu, L.-L., & Neelin, J. D. Using data and intermediate coupled models for seasonal-to-interannual forecasts<\/a>, Mon. Weather Rev.<\/em>, 128<\/strong>, 3025-3049, doi:???<\/a> (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dijkstra, H. A., & Neelin, J. D. Coupled processes and the tropical climatology. Part III: Instabilities of the fully coupled climatology<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 12<\/strong>, 1630-1643, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1999)012<1630:CPATTC>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N., Neelin, J. D., Lau, W. K.-M., & Tucker, C. J. Enhancement of interdecadal climate variability in the Sahel by vegetation interaction<\/a>. Science<\/em>, 286<\/strong>, 1537-1540, doi:10.1126\/science.286.5444.1537<\/a> (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dijkstra, H. A., & Neelin, J. D. Imperfections of the thermohaline circulation: multiple equilibria<\/a> <\/a>and flux correction<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 12<\/strong>, 1382-1392, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1999)012<1382:IOTTCM>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N., & Neelin, J. D. A land-atmosphere interaction theory for the tropical deforestation problem<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 12<\/strong>, 857-872, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1999)012<0857:ALAITF>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lin, J. W.-B., Neelin, J. D., & Zeng, N. Maintenance of tropical intraseasonal variability\u2013-impact of mid-latitude storms, in 23rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology<\/em>. Mass. American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1999,<\/strong> 736\u2013738, (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Zeng, N., Chou, C., Lin, J. W.-B., Su, H., Munnich, M., & Hales, K. The Neelin-Zeng Quasi-Equilibrium Tropical Circulation Model (QTCM1) Version 2.1, Documentation and Manual, (1999).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N. Seasonal cycle and interannual variability in the <\/a>Amazon<\/a> hydrologic cycle<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 104<\/strong>, 9097-9106, doi:10.1029\/1998JD200088<\/a> (1999).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1998<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Yu, J.-Y., Chou, C., & Neelin, J. D. Estimating the gross moist <\/a>stability of the tropical atmosphere<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 55<\/strong>, 1354-1372, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1998)055<1354:ETGMSO>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Syu, H.-H., & Neelin, J. D. Prediction of Ni\u00f1o-3 SST anomaly in a hybrid coupled model with piggy-back data assimilation initialization, Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin<\/em>, 7<\/strong>, (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Weng, W., & Neelin, J. D. On the role of ocean-atmosphere interaction in midlatitude interdecadal variability<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 25<\/strong>, 167-170, doi:10.1029\/97GL03507<\/a> (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N. Understanding climate sensitivity to tropical deforestation in a mechanistic model<\/a>, J. Climate.<\/em>, 11<\/strong>, 1969-1975, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1998)011<1969:UCSTTD>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Battisti, D. S., Hirst, A. C., Jin, F.-F., Wakata, Y., Yamagata, T., Zebiak, S. E. ENSO theory<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.,<\/em> 103<\/strong>, 14261-14290, doi:10.1029\/97JC03424<\/a> (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Latif, M. El Ni\u00f1o Dynamics<\/a>, Physics Today<\/em>, 51<\/strong>, 32-36, doi:10.1063\/1.882496<\/a> (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saunders, A., Ghil, M., & Neelin, J. D. Forecasts of Ni\u00f1o-3 and SOI based on Singular Spectrum Analysis combined with the Maximum Entropy Method, Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin<\/em>, 7<\/strong>, (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lin, J. W.-B., Neelin, J. D., Zeng, N. Maintenance of tropical intraseasonal variability in an intermediate-complexity atmospheric model, in Proceedings of the CLIVAR\/GEWEX COARE98 Conference<\/em>. Boulder, Colorado: World Climate Research Programme<\/em>, 1998<\/strong>, 179\u2013180, (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Zeng, N., Chou, C., Weibel, W., Adcroft, A., Lin, J. W.-B. The Neelin-Zeng Quasi-Equilibrium Tropical Circulation Model (QTCM1) Version 2.0, (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ghil, M., & Jiang, N. Recent forecast skill for the El Ni\u00f1o\/Southern Oscillation<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 25<\/strong>, 171-174, doi:10.1029\/97GL03635<\/a> (1998).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1997<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Yu, J.-Y., & Neelin, J. D. Analytic approximations for moist convectively adjusted regions<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 54<\/strong>, 1054-1063, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1997)054<1054:AAFMCA>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Weng, W., & Neelin, J. D. Analytical prototypes for ocean-atmosphere interaction at midlatitudes, in Proceedings of the Seventh Conference on Climate Variations (Climate 7)<\/em>, Long Beach, California: American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1997<\/strong>, 76-79, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C., Neelin, J. D. Cloudiness and radiation parameterizations for intermediate tropical atmospheric models, in Proceedings of the Seventh Conference on Climate Variations (Climate 7)<\/em>, Long Beach, California: American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1997<\/strong>, 253\u2013256, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yang J., & Neelin, J. D. Decadal variability in coupled sea-ice\u2013thermohaline systems<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 10<\/strong>, 3059-3076, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1997)010<3059:DVICSI>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Blanke, B., Neelin, J. D., & Gutzler, D. Estimating the effects of stochastic wind stress forcing on ENSO irregularity<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 10<\/strong>, 1473-1486, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1997)010<1473:ETEOSW>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saunders, A., Ghil, M., & Neelin, J. D. Forecasts of Ni\u00f1o-3 and SOI based on Singular Spectrum Analysis combined with the Maximum Entropy Method, Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin<\/em>, 6<\/strong>, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Emanuel, K. A., Neelin, J. D., & Bretherton, C. S. On large-scale circulations in convecting atmospheres\u2013-reply<\/a>, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.<\/em>, doi:???<\/a>, 123<\/strong>, 1779-1782, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D. The physics and parameterization of moist atmospheric convection. In: Dortrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers<\/em>, 1997<\/strong>, pp. 413-416, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Syu, H.-H., & Neelin, J. D. Prediction of Ni\u00f1o-3 SST anomaly in a hybrid coupled model with piggy-back data assimilation initialization, Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin<\/em>, 6<\/strong>, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yang, J.-Y., & Neelin, J. D. Sea-ice interaction and the stability of the thermohaline circulation<\/a>, Atmosphere\u2013Ocean<\/em>, 35<\/strong>, 433-469, doi:10.1080\/07055900.1997.9649599<\/a> (1997). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Weng, W. A Simple Model for Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction at Midlatitudes, PhD Thesis, <\/em>doi:???<\/a>, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Zeng, N. The simplest quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model\u2013formulation, in Proceedings of the Seventh Conference on Climate Variations (Climate 7)<\/em>, Long Beach, California: American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1997<\/strong>, 4\u20137, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zeng, N., Neelin, J. D. The simplest quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model\u2013initial results, in Proceedings of the Seventh Conference on Climate Variations (Climate 7)<\/em>, Long Beach, California: American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1997<\/strong>, 8\u201310, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Syu, H.-H. Simulation and prediction of El Ni\u00f1o and interactions with the seasonal cycle in a hybrid coupled model, PhD Thesis, <\/em>doi:???<\/a>, (1997).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1996<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Jin, F.-F., & Neelin, J. D., & Ghil, M. El Ni\u00f1o\/Southern Oscillation and the annual cycle: Subharmonic frequency locking and aperiodicity<\/a>, Physica D<\/em>, 98<\/strong>, 442-465, doi:10.1016\/0167-2789(96)00111-X<\/a> (1996).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jiang, N., Ghil, M., & Neelin, J. D. Forecasts of Ni\u00f1o-3 SST anomalies and SOI based on <\/a>Singular<\/a> Spectrum Analysis combined with the Maximum Entropy Method<\/a>, Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin<\/em>, 5<\/strong>, 51-53, doi:???<\/a> (1996).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C., & Neelin, J. D. Linearization of a long-wave radiation scheme for intermediate tropical atmospheric models<\/a>. J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 101<\/strong>, 15129-15145, doi:10.1029\/96JD01015<\/a> (1996).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chou, C. Simplified Radiation and Convection Treatments for Large-Scale Tropical Atmospheric Modeling, PhD Thesis, <\/em>doi:???<\/a>, (1996).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1995<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Neelin, J. D., & Dijkstra, H. A. Ocean-atmosphere feedbacks between the tropical Pacific warm pool and the equatorial cold tongue, in Proceedings of the Symposium on the Regulation of Sea Surface Temperatures and Warming of the Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere System<\/em>, American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1995<\/strong>, 78-79, (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Dijkstra, H. A. Ocean-atmosphere interaction and the tropical climatology. Part I: The dangers of flux correction<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 8<\/strong>, 1325-1342, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1995)008<1325:OAIATT>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jiang, N., Neelin, J. D., & Ghil, M. Quasi-quadrennial and quasi-biennial variability in COADS equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature and winds<\/a>, Climate Dynamics<\/em>, 12<\/strong>, 101-112, doi:10.1007\/BF00223723<\/a> (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yang, J., & Neelin, J. D. Sea ice interaction and the stability of the thermohaline circulation. \u0131t ,} 15-20 January, 1995, Dallas, Texas, in Proc. Am. Meteor. Soc. 4th Conf. on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography<\/em>, American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1995<\/strong>, 189-192, (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Syu, H.-H., Neelin, J. D., & Gutzler, D. Seasonal and interannual variability in a hybrid coupled GCM<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 8<\/strong>, 2121-2143, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1995)008<2121:SAIVIA>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mechoso, C. R., Robertson, A. W., Barth, N., Davey, M. K., Delecluse, P., Gent, P. R., Ineson, S., Kirtman, B., Latif, M., & Treut, H. L., et al. The seasonal cycle over the tropical Pacific in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models<\/a>. Mon. Weather Rev.<\/em>, 123<\/strong>, 2825-2838, doi:10.1175\/1520-0493(1995)123<2825:TSCOTT>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Waliser, D. E., Blanke, B., Neelin, J. D., & Gautier, C. Shortwave feedbacks and ENSO: Forced ocean and coupled ocean-atmosphere experiments, in Proceedings of the Symposium on the Regulation of Sea Surface Temperatures and Warming of the Tropical Ocean-Atmosphere System<\/em>, American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1995<\/strong>, 82-83, (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dijkstra HA, Neelin JD. On the attractors of an intermediate coupled equatorial ocean-atmosphere model<\/a>, Dyn. Atm. Oceans<\/em>, 22<\/strong>, 19-48, doi:10.1016\/0377-0265(94)00398-G<\/a> (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Houghton, J. T., Filho, L. G. M., Callender, BA, Harris N, Kattenberg A, Maskell K ed. Climate Change 1995, The Science of Climate Change, Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, In: Cambridge, UK, Cambridge University Press,<\/em> 1995<\/strong>, pp. 193-228, (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jiang, N., Keppenne, C., Ghil, M., & Neelin, J. D. Forecasts for tropical Pacific SST anomalies and the SOI based on Singular Spectrum Analysis combined with the Maximum Entropy Method, Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin<\/em>, 4<\/strong>, (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jiang N, Ghil M, Neelin D. Forecasts of equatorial Pacific SST anomalies by an autoregressive process using singular spectrum analysis, in Proceedings of the 19th Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop<\/em>, Climate Analysis Center<\/em>, 1995<\/strong>, 294-297, (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jiang N, Ghil M, Neelin D. Forecasts of equatorial Pacific SST anomalies by an autoregressive process using singular spectrum analysis<\/a>, Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin<\/em>, 4<\/strong>, 24-27, doi:??? (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dijkstra, H. A., & Neelin, J. D. Ocean-atmosphere interaction and the tropical climatology, Part II: Why the Pacific cold tongue is in the east<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 8<\/strong>, 1343-1359, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1995)008<1343:OAIATT>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1995).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1994<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Hao, Z. Data Assimilation for Interannual Climate Change Prediction, PhD Thesis<\/em>, doi:???<\/a>, (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Latif, M., & Jin, F.-F. Dynamics of coupled ocean-atmosphere models: The tropical problem<\/a>, Ann. Rev. Fluid Mech.<\/em>, 26<\/strong>, 617-659, <\/a>doi:10.1146\/annurev.fl.26.010194.003153<\/a> (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jin, F.-F., Neelin, J. D., & Ghil, M. El Ni\u00f1o on the devil’s staircase: Annual subharmonic steps to chaos<\/a>, Science<\/em>, 264<\/strong>, 70-72, doi:10.1126\/science.264.5155.70<\/a> (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Latif, M., & Neelin, J. D. El Ni\u00f1o\/Southern Oscillation<\/a>, Europhys. News<\/em>, 25<\/strong>, 143-146, doi:10.1051\/epn\/19942507143<\/a> (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Emanuel, K. A., Neelin, J. D., & Bretherton, C. S. On large-scale circulations in convecting atmospheres<\/a>, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.<\/em>, 120<\/strong>, 1111-1143, doi:10.1002\/qj.49712051902<\/a> (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Latif, M., & Neelin, J. D. Modelling the El Ni\u00f1o\/Southern Oscillation<\/a>, Europhys. News<\/em>, 25<\/strong>, 143\u2013146, doi:???<\/a> (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Yu, J.-Y. Modes of tropical variability under convective adjustment and the Madden-Julian oscillation. Part I: Analytical results<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci<\/em>, 51<\/strong>, 1876-1894, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1994)051<1876:MOTVUC>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yu, J.-Y., & Neelin, J. D. Modes of tropical variability under convective adjustment and the Madden-Julian oscillation. Part II: Numerical results<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci<\/em>, 51<\/strong>, 1895-1914, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1994)051<1895:MOTVUC>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Marotzke, J. Representing ocean eddies in <\/a>climate<\/a> models<\/a>, Science<\/em>, 264<\/strong>, 1099-1100, doi:10.1126\/science.264.5162.1099<\/a> (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Waliser, D. E., Blanke, B., Neelin, J. D., & Gautier, C. Shortwave feedbacks and El Ni\u00f1o\u2013Southern Oscillation: Forced ocean and coupled ocean-atmosphere experiments<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res.<\/em>, 99<\/strong>, 25109-25125, doi:10.1029\/94JC02297<\/a> (1994).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1993<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Yu, J.-Y., & Neelin, J. D. CID not CISK under moist convective adjustment, in Extended Abstract Volume, Twentieth Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology<\/em>. Mass. American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1993<\/strong>, 169-172, (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yang, J.-Y., & Neelin, J. D. Sea-ice interactions with the thermohaline circulation<\/a>, Geo. Research Letters<\/em>, 20<\/strong>, 217-220, doi:10.1029\/92GL02920<\/a> (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yu, J.-Y. The tropical atmosphere under convective adjustment<\/a>, PhD Thesis<\/em>, 55<\/strong>, 958, doi:???<\/a> (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yu, J.-Y., & Neelin, J. D. The tropical atmospheric circulation under convective adjustment, in Extended Abstract Volume, Fourth Symposium on Global Change Studies<\/em>. Mass. American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1993<\/strong>, 408-412, (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jin, F.-F., & Neelin, J. D. Modes of interannual tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction\u2013-a unified view. Part I: Numerical results<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 50<\/strong>, 3477-3503, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1993)050<3477:MOITOI>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Jin, F.-F. Modes of interannual tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction\u2013-a unified view. Part II: Analytical results in the weak coupling limit<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 50<\/strong>, 3504-3522, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1993)050<3504:MOITOI>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jin, F.-F., & Neelin, J. D. Modes of interannual tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction\u2013-a unified view. Part III: Analytical results in fully coupled cases<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 50<\/strong>, 3523-3540, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1993)050<3523:MOITOI>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hao, Z., Neelin, J. D., & Jin, F.-F. Nonlinear tropical air-sea interaction in the fast-wave limit<\/a>, J. Climate<\/em>, 6<\/strong>, 1523-1544, doi:10.1175\/1520-0442(1993)006<1523:NTAIIT>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jiang, N., Neelin, J. D., & Ghil, M. Quasi-quadrennial and quasi-biennial variability in COADS equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature and surface zonal winds, in Proceedings of the 17th Climate Diagnostics Workshop<\/em>. Climate Analysis Center<\/em>, 1993<\/strong>, 348-353, (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jin, F.-F., Neelin, J. D., Ghil, M. The role of the annual cycle in interannual tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction, in Extended Abstract Volume, Ninth Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Waves and Stability<\/em>. Mass. American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1993<\/strong>, 424-427, (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Liu, W., Ghil, M., Neelin, J. D., & Hall, C. A. A simple coastal ocean model for the Central Californian basin during late Miocene<\/a>. Paleoceanogr.<\/em>, 8<\/strong>, 799-810, doi:10.1029\/93PA02336<\/a> (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Syu, H.-H., Neelin, J. D., Weibel, W., & Gutzler, D. Tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction in a hybrid coupled GCM: Seasonal cycle and interannual variability, in Extended Abstract Volume, Fourth Symposium on Global Change Studies<\/em>. Mass. American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1993<\/strong>, 402-407, (1993).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1992<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Yu, J.-Y., & Neelin, J. D. Intraseasonal oscillation and response to sea surface temperature anomalies in a linear tropical atmospheric model, in Proceedings of the 16th Climate Diagnostics Workshop<\/em>. Climate Analysis Center<\/em>, 1992<\/strong>, 98-103, (1992).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Latif, M., Allaart, M. A. F., Cane, M. A., Cubasch, U., Gates, W. L., Gent, P. R., Ghil, M., Gordon, C., & Lau, N. C., et al.Tropical air-sea interaction in general circulation models<\/a>, Climate Dynamics<\/em>, 7<\/strong>, 73-104, doi:???<\/a> (1992).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., Hao, Z., & Jin, F-F. Reply to `A note the fast-wave limit and interannual oscillations’<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 49<\/strong>, 1950-1953, (1992).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1991<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Neelin, J. D., & Latif, M. Intercomparison of coupled general circulation models. Research Report, in JSC\/CCCO TOGA Numerical Experimentation Group, Report of the Fourth Session<\/em>. Geneva: World Climate Research Programme<\/em>, 1991<\/strong>, 13-14, (1991).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Jin, F.-F. Modes of interannual tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction \u2013-a unified view. Part I: Numerical results, in Extended Abstract Volume, Eighth Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Waves and Stability<\/em>. Boston, Mass. American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1991<\/strong>, J13-J16, (1991).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jin, F.-F., & Neelin, J. D. Modes of interannual tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction \u2013-a unified view. Part II: Analytical results, in Extended Abstract Volume, Eighth Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Waves and Stability<\/em>. Boston, Mass. American Meteorological Society<\/em>, 1991<\/strong>, 22-25, (1991).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ghil, M., Kimoto, M., & Neelin, J. D. Nonlinear dynamics and predictability in the atmospheric sciences<\/a>, Rev. Geophys.<\/em>, 36<\/strong>, 46-55, doi:10.1002\/rog.1991.29.s1.46<\/a> (1991).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D. The slow sea surface temperature mode and the fast-wave limit: Analytic theory for tropical interannual oscillations and experiments in a hybrid coupled model<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 48<\/strong>, 584-606, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1991)048<0584:TSSSTM>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1991).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1990<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Neelin, J.D., Jin, F.-F., & Hao, Z. Flow regimes of the tropical ocean-atmosphere system, in Proceedings of the International TOGA Scientific Conference<\/em>. Geneva: World Meteorological Organization<\/em>, 1990<\/strong>, 191-200, (1990).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D. A hybrid coupled general circulation model for El Ni\u00f1o studies<\/a>, J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 47<\/strong>, 674-693, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1990)047<0674:AHCGCM>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1990).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1989<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Neelin, J. D. Interannual oscillations in an ocean general circulation model coupled to a simple atmosphere model<\/a>, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. Lond. A.<\/em>, 329<\/strong>, 189-205, doi:10.1098\/rsta.1989.0070<\/a> (1989).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Battisti, D., & Neelin, J. D. Coupled model simulations: Simple and intermediate models<\/a>, in JSC\/CCCO TOGA Numerical Experimentation Group. Report of the Second Session<\/em>. Geneva: World Climate Research Programme<\/em>, 1989<\/strong>, 6-9, (1989).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D. On the interpretation of the Gill model<\/a>. J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 46<\/strong>, 2466-2468, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1989)046<2466:OTIOTG>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1989).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1988<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Lau, N. C., Held, I. M., & Neelin, J. D. The Madden-Julian oscillation in an idealized general<\/a> <\/a>circulation model<\/a>. J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 45<\/strong>, 3810-3832, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1988)045<3810:TMJOIA>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1988).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D. Reply to Comments on an air-sea interaction model of intraseasonal oscillation in the tropics<\/a>. J. Atmos. Sci.<\/em>, 4<\/strong>5, 3526-3527, doi:??? (1988).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D. A simple model for surface stress and low-level flow in the tropical atmosphere driven by prescribed heating<\/a>, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.<\/em>, 114<\/strong>, 747-770, doi:10.1002\/qj.49711448110<\/a> (1988).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1987<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Neelin, J. D., Held, I. M., Cook K. H. Evaporation-wind feedback and low frequency variability in the tropical atmosphere<\/a>. J. Atmos. Sci., <\/em>44<\/strong>, 2341-2348, doi:10.1175\/1520-0469(1987)044<2341:EWFALF>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1987).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D., & Held, I. M. Modeling tropical convergence based on the moist static energy budget<\/a>, Mon. Weather Rev<\/em>., 115<\/strong>, 3-12. doi:10.1175\/1520-0493(1987)115<0003:MTCBOT>2.0.CO;2<\/a> (1987).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neelin, J. D. Simple models of steady and low-frequency circulations in the tropical atmosphere, with application to tropical air-sea interactions. Ph.D. Dissertation<\/a>, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., <\/em>114<\/strong>, 747\u2013770, doi:10.1002\/qj.49711448110<\/a> (1987).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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1984<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Neelin, J. D., & Lin, C. A. Baroclinic generation of planetary transient and stationary waves from forced stationary waves<\/a>, J. Geophys. Res<\/em>., 89<\/strong>, 7202-7214, doi:10.1029\/JD089iD05p07202<\/a> (1984).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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top<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Years 2020 – 2010 – 2000 – 1990 – ____2021 – 2011 – 2001 – 1991 – ____2022 – 2012 – 2002 – 1992 – ____2023 – 2013 – 2003 – 1993 – ____2024 – 2014 – 2004 – 1994 – 19842025- 2015 – 2005 – 1995 – 1985____ – 2016 – 2006 – 1996…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":201,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"front-page-no-banner.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-38","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/38","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/201"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38"}],"version-history":[{"count":181,"href":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/38\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1112,"href":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/38\/revisions\/1112"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atmos.ucla.edu\/csi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}